Gambia vs Gabon prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 4Full time
Gambia
2-1
Gabon
Model's readIndependence Stadium
1 40%X 26%2 34%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
79.6%
xG
1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →
GambiaLLDWL
GabonDLLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedGambia favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.54 goals for Gambia and 1.38 for Gabon, giving 40% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.54 - 1.38
- Clean sheet chance: Gambia 25%, Gabon 21%
Match result
1X2Gambia40.5%
Draw26.0%
Gabon33.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Gambia
Average
5.3
Gabon
Average
GambiaLast 10 gamesGabon1.40Points per game1.10
2.2Goals scored per game1.8
1.6Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 5 meetings2
Gambia
0
Draws
3
Gabon
- 10 Oct 25Gambia 3-4 Gabon
- 11 Jun 24Gabon 3-2 Gambia
- 16 Nov 20Gambia 2-1 Gabon
- 12 Nov 20Gabon 2-1 Gambia
- 7 Jun 11Gabon 0-1 Gambia