Chelsea vs Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

65.8%

xG

1.5 – 1.6

Over 2.5

60%

Both score

63%

Form

Full stats →

ChelseaWLDWL

Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWWD

Match analysis

Model generated

Brighton and Hove Albion favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.50 goals for Chelsea and 1.63 for Brighton and Hove Albion, giving 34% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.50 - 1.63
Clean sheet chance: Chelsea 20%, Brighton and Hove Albion 22%

Match result

1X2

Chelsea34.2%

Draw25.8%

Brighton and Hove Albion40.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.7

Chelsea

Above average

6.8

Brighton and Hove Albion

Above average

ChelseaLast 10 games

Brighton and Hove Albion

1.90Points per game2.00

2.6Goals scored per game2.5

1.9Goals conceded per game1.0

90%Over 2.5 goals70%

80%Both teams scored30%

10%Clean sheets60%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

ChelseaWLDWL

Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWWD

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	6	+13	13
4▲	Hull City55′ 1-0	6	+3	11
5▼	Brentford	6	+6	10
6▼	Chelsea	6	+2	10
7▼	Leeds United	6	+3	9
8▼	Liverpool	5	+3	9
9▼	Everton55′ 0-1	6	+2	9
10▼	Ipswich Town	6	-3	9
11	Newcastle United	5	0	8
12▲	Crystal Palace54′ 2-1	6	-4	7
13▼	Manchester United	6	0	6
14▼	Nottingham Forest54′ 1-2	6	-2	5
15▼	Aston Villa	6	-5	5
16	Sunderland	6	-6	4
17	Bournemouth	6	-6	3
18	Tottenham Hotspur	6	-6	3
19	Coventry City	5	-9	3
20	Fulham	6	-4	2