Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

73.9%

xG

1.6 – 1.4

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

62%

Form

Full stats →

ChelseaWLDWL

BrentfordDWWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Chelsea favoured at 41%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.63 goals for Chelsea and 1.43 for Brentford, giving 41% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.63 - 1.43
Clean sheet chance: Chelsea 24%, Brentford 20%

Match result

1X2

Chelsea41.5%

Draw26.1%

Brentford32.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.7

Chelsea

Above average

6.3

Brentford

Above average

ChelseaLast 10 games

Brentford

1.90Points per game1.80

2.6Goals scored per game2.3

1.9Goals conceded per game1.1

90%Over 2.5 goals70%

80%Both teams scored80%

10%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

ChelseaWLDWL

BrentfordDWWDD

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	+4	12
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	5	+11	10
4▲	Everton31′ 0-0	6	+3	10
5▼	Brentford	5	+6	9
6▼	Leeds United	5	+4	9
7▼	Liverpool	5	+3	9
8	Hull City31′ 0-0	6	+2	9
9	Newcastle United	5	0	8
10▲	Nottingham Forest31′ 1-0	6	0	8
11▼	Chelsea	5	-2	7
12▼	Ipswich Town	5	-4	6
13▼	Manchester United	5	0	5
14	Sunderland	5	-4	4
15▲	Aston Villa	5	-5	4
16▼	Crystal Palace31′ 0-1	6	-6	4
17	Bournemouth	5	-2	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2