Utrecht vs Willem II prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 11Full time
Utrecht
5-1
Willem II
Model's readStadion Galgenwaard
1 64%X 21%2 15%
Our pick
Home Win
64.4%
xG
2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →UtrechtLWDLDWillem IILLDLDMatch analysis
EnhancedUtrecht to win at home, model gives 64%
The model makes Utrecht the favourites at 64%, against a 44% norm for home wins in this competition. Expected goals are 2.32 for Utrecht and 1.06 for Willem II, so a high-scoring game is likely, with over 2.5 at 66%. Treat it as a lean, not a lock.
Match result
1X2Utrecht64.4%
Draw20.8%
Willem II14.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Utrecht
Above average
2.8
Willem II
Weak
UtrechtLast 10 gamesWillem II1.20Points per game0.60
1.6Goals scored per game0.9
2.6Goals conceded per game2.4
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Utrecht
1
Draws
2
Willem II
- 9 Mar 25Willem II 2-3 Utrecht
- 21 Sept 24Utrecht 3-2 Willem II
- 15 May 22Willem II 3-0 Utrecht
- 31 Oct 21Utrecht 5-1 Willem II
- 1 May 21Utrecht 3-2 Willem II