Willem II vs Ajax prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 23Full time
Willem II
0-1
Ajax
Model's readKoning Willem II Stadion
1 11%X 19%2 70%
Our pick
Away Win
69.8%
xG
0.9 – 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →Willem IILLDLDAjaxDDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedAjax favoured at 70%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 0.93 goals for Willem II and 2.45 for Ajax, giving 11% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 70% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-2 at 10%
- Expected goals: 0.93 - 2.45
- Clean sheet chance: Willem II 9%, Ajax 39%
Match result
1X2Willem II11.3%
Draw18.9%
Ajax69.8%
Model rating
All ratings →2.8
Willem II
Weak
7.4
Ajax
Strong
Willem IILast 10 gamesAjax0.60Points per game1.90
0.9Goals scored per game3.1
2.4Goals conceded per game1.7
60%Over 2.5 goals90%
70%Both teams scored90%
10%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Willem II
1
Draws
8
Ajax
- 15 Sept 26Ajax 5-1 Willem II
- 13 Apr 25Willem II 1-2 Ajax
- 27 Oct 24Ajax 1-0 Willem II
- 19 Feb 22Willem II 0-1 Ajax
- 2 Dec 21Ajax 5-0 Willem II