Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
54%
The model gives Lens a 55% chance to win and 80% for Home or Draw, well above the 68% norm for this competition. That gap is the main signal, not the raw percentage. Lens are rated 2nd of 25 sides here, while Lorient are 11th.
Lens
Above average
Lorient
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | +5 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | +7 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | +4 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | +3 | 8 | |
| 8▲ | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9▼ | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10▼ | 6 | +1 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | -3 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | 6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 14▲ | 6 | -3 | 6 | |
| 15▼ | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 16 | 5 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 18 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
5
Lens
2
Draws
3
Lorient