Lorient vs Troyes prediction, French Ligue 1
French Ligue 1 · Round 38Full time
Lorient
1-1
Troyes
Model's readStade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
1 58%X 24%2 18%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
76.8%
xG
1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →LorientWLDWLTroyesLLLWDMatch analysis
Model generatedLorient favoured at 58%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.83 goals for Lorient and 0.93 for Troyes, giving 58% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.83 - 0.93
- Clean sheet chance: Lorient 39%, Troyes 16%
Match result
1X2Lorient57.8%
Draw24.0%
Troyes18.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Lorient
Average
3.2
Troyes
Weak
LorientLast 10 gamesTroyes1.20Points per game0.60
1.4Goals scored per game0.8
1.3Goals conceded per game2.2
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7▲ |  Strasbourg29′ 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8▼ |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 9▼ |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11▲ |  Nice29′ 0-0 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 12▼ |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13▼ |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14▼ | Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15▼ |  Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Lorient
2
Draws
3
Troyes
- 29 Aug 26Lorient 1-2 Troyes
- 14 Feb 25Troyes 0-1 Lorient
- 6 Dec 24Lorient 2-0 Troyes
- 12 Mar 23Lorient 2-0 Troyes
- 23 Oct 22Troyes 2-2 Lorient