Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

75.4%

xG

1.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

SevillaLWWDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletic Bilbao favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.52 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.00 for Sevilla, giving 49% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.52 - 1.00
Clean sheet chance: Athletic Bilbao 37%, Sevilla 22%

Match result

1X2

Athletic Bilbao49.1%

Draw26.3%

Sevilla24.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

5.2

Sevilla

Average

Athletic BilbaoLast 10 games

Sevilla

1.00Points per game1.60

1.0Goals scored per game1.3

1.3Goals conceded per game1.3

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

40%Both teams scored60%

40%Clean sheets20%

40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

SevillaLWWDL

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
4	Real Betis	7	+2	16
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15▲	Racing de SantanderHT 1-1	8	-10	8
16▼	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	ValenciaHT 1-1	8	-9	5
20	Málaga	8	-9	4