Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
55%
The model makes Espanyol the most likely winner at 40%, with a draw at 26% and Rayo Vallecano at 34%. Expected goals are 1.40 for Espanyol and 1.28 for Rayo, so the model sees a tight match. Treat this as a narrow lean, not a sure thing.
Espanyol
Average
Rayo Vallecano
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +26 | 24 | |
| 2 | 7 | +9 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | +2 | 16 | |
| 4 | 7 | +10 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | +1 | 13 | |
| 6 | 7 | +5 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | -4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | +1 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12▲ | 7 | -5 | 8 | |
| 13▼ | 8 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 7 | |
| 17 | 6 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | -9 | 4 | |
| 20 | 8 | -9 | 4 |
4
Espanyol
0
Draws
6
Rayo Vallecano