Our pick
Away Win
xG
0.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5
36%
Both score
40%
The model makes Colombia the favourite at 54%, against 17% for Peru and 29% for a draw. Expected goals are 0.71 for Peru and 1.44 for Colombia, and the 54% is well above the 25% norm for this competition. Treat it as a probability, not a guarantee.
Peru
Average
Colombia
Above average
2
Peru
3
Draws
5
Colombia