Arouca vs Moreirense prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 24Full time
Arouca
1-1
Moreirense
Model's readEstádio Municipal de Arouca
1 49%X 24%2 26%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.9%
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →AroucaWDLDWMoreirenseLDWLLMatch analysis
EnhancedModel's pick: Arouca or draw (1X) at 74%
The model's strongest read is Home or Draw for Arouca at 74%, against a 69% norm for this competition. That gap is the reason it stands out, not the raw figure. Overall, Arouca are still the model's favourite at 49%, but this is a close game.
Match result
1X2Arouca49.5%
Draw24.4%
Moreirense26.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Arouca
Above average
4.9
Moreirense
Average
AroucaLast 10 gamesMoreirense2.00Points per game0.90
1.7Goals scored per game0.8
0.9Goals conceded per game1.7
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Arouca
2
Draws
5
Moreirense
- 16 Aug 26Arouca 4-0 Moreirense
- 21 Mar 26Moreirense 0-1 Arouca
- 2 Nov 25Arouca 0-2 Moreirense
- 24 Jan 25Arouca 1-0 Moreirense
- 18 Aug 24Moreirense 3-1 Arouca