Sporting CP vs Arouca Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Home Win

69.8%

xG

2.4 – 0.9

Over 2.5

63%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

Sporting CPWDDWW

AroucaDLDWL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Sporting CP to win at home, 70% model probability

The model makes Sporting CP the likely winner at 70%, against a 43% norm for home wins in this competition. Their attack, rated second best, faces an Arouca defence ranked 15th weakest. Treat it as a probability, not a guarantee, since Arouca still have a 13% away win chance.

Match result

1X2

Sporting CP69.8%

Draw17.3%

Arouca12.9%

Model rating

All ratings →

9.0

Sporting CP

Elite

5.7

Arouca

Above average

Sporting CPLast 10 games

Arouca

2.40Points per game1.80

2.6Goals scored per game1.8

1.0Goals conceded per game1.1

80%Over 2.5 goals70%

70%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets30%

0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Sporting CPWDDWW

AroucaDLDWL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2