Arouca vs Moreirense prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 2Full time
Arouca
4-0
Moreirense
Model's readEstádio Municipal de Arouca
1 49%X 24%2 26%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.9%
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →AroucaDLDWLMoreirenseLDWLLMatch analysis
EnhancedArouca to avoid defeat: Home or Draw at 74%
The model's strongest read is Arouca Home or Draw (1X) at 74%, against a 69% norm in this competition. That gap matters more than the raw figure. Arouca's home record is 22 wins, 13 draws and 20 losses, while Moreirense's away record is 17 wins, 10 draws and 28 losses.
Match result
1X2Arouca49.5%
Draw24.4%
Moreirense26.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Arouca
Above average
4.9
Moreirense
Average
AroucaLast 10 gamesMoreirense1.80Points per game0.90
1.8Goals scored per game0.8
1.1Goals conceded per game1.7
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Arouca
2
Draws
5
Moreirense
- 16 Aug 26Arouca 4-0 Moreirense
- 21 Mar 26Moreirense 0-1 Arouca
- 2 Nov 25Arouca 0-2 Moreirense
- 24 Jan 25Arouca 1-0 Moreirense
- 18 Aug 24Moreirense 3-1 Arouca