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Rwanda vs Kenya prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time

Rwanda

1-1

Sun, 5 Sept

Kenya

Model's readKigali
1 46%X 28%2 25%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

78.0%

xG

1.4 – 1.0

Over 2.5

43%

Both score

48%

Form

Full stats →
RwandaDWWLL
KenyaDWDWD

Match analysis

Model generated

Rwanda favoured at 46%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.42 goals for Rwanda and 0.98 for Kenya, giving 46% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.42 - 0.98
  • Clean sheet chance: Rwanda 38%, Kenya 24%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Rwanda v Kenya

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Rwanda46.3%
Draw28.4%
Kenya25.3%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Rwanda

Above average

5.7

Kenya

Above average

RwandaLast 10 gamesKenya
1.10Points per game1.20
0.8Goals scored per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded per game2.2
20%Over 2.5 goals50%
10%Both teams scored20%
40%Clean sheets40%
60%Failed to score50%

Recent results

RwandaDWWLL
  • 5 OctHKenya0-0
  • 30 MarHEstonia2-0
  • 27 MarHGrenada4-0
  • 14 OctASouth Africa0-3
  • 10 OctHBenin0-1
  • 9 SeptAZimbabwe1-0
KenyaDWDWD
  • 5 OctARwanda0-0
  • 7 JunHLesotho4-0
  • 4 JunALesotho1-1
  • 30 MarAGrenada3-0
  • 27 MarHEstonia1-1
  • 18 NovASenegal0-8

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

0

Rwanda

6

Draws

3

Kenya

  • 5 Oct 26Rwanda 0-0 Kenya
  • 15 Nov 21Kenya 2-1 Rwanda
  • 5 Sept 21Rwanda 1-1 Kenya
  • 6 Jun 15Rwanda 0-0 Kenya
  • 10 Jun 07Kenya 2-0 Rwanda
Every meeting between these two →