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Colombia vs Paraguay prediction, World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL

World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL · Round 400Full time

Colombia

0-0

Tue, 16 Nov

Paraguay

Model's readBarranquilla
1 45%X 31%2 24%

Our pick

Under 2.5 Goals

64.8%

xG

1.3 – 0.8

Over 2.5

35%

Both score

42%

Form

Full stats →
ColombiaWLDDW
ParaguayWWLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Colombia favoured at 45%, in a tight game

The model projects 1.26 goals for Colombia and 0.84 for Paraguay, giving 45% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.26 - 0.84
  • Clean sheet chance: Colombia 43%, Paraguay 28%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Colombia v Paraguay

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Colombia45.2%
Draw31.1%
Paraguay23.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.1

Colombia

Above average

6.2

Paraguay

Above average

ColombiaLast 10 gamesParaguay
2.10Points per game1.70
1.2Goals scored per game1.2
0.3Goals conceded per game0.8
10%Over 2.5 goals30%
20%Both teams scored30%
70%Clean sheets60%
30%Failed to score20%

Recent results

ColombiaWLDDW
  • 6 OctHPeru2-0
  • 3 OctHParaguay0-1
  • 27 SeptAMexico1-1
  • 7 JulASwitzerland0-0
  • 3 JulHGhana1-0
  • 27 JunHPortugal0-0
ParaguayWWLDD
  • 3 OctAColombia1-0
  • 27 SeptABolivia2-0
  • 4 JulHFrance0-1
  • 29 JunAGermany1-1
  • 25 JunHAustralia0-0
  • 19 JunATurkey1-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

5

Colombia

3

Draws

2

Paraguay

  • 3 Oct 26Colombia 0-1 Paraguay
  • 25 Mar 25Colombia 2-2 Paraguay
  • 24 Jun 24Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
  • 21 Nov 23Paraguay 0-1 Colombia
  • 19 Nov 22Colombia 2-0 Paraguay
Every meeting between these two →