Coritiba vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

68.0%

xG

1.4 – 1.6

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

61%

Form

Full stats →

CoritibaLLDLW

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletico Paranaense favoured at 42%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.38 goals for Coritiba and 1.61 for Athletico Paranaense, giving 32% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.38 - 1.61
Clean sheet chance: Coritiba 20%, Athletico Paranaense 25%

Match result

1X2

Coritiba32.0%

Draw25.8%

Athletico Paranaense42.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.6

Coritiba

Average

6.5

Athletico Paranaense

Above average

CoritibaLast 10 games

Athletico Paranaense

1.20Points per game1.70

1.2Goals scored per game1.9

2.0Goals conceded per game1.5

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored70%

10%Clean sheets30%

40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

CoritibaLLDLW

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo32′ 0-0	29	+32	61
2	Palmeiras33′ 1-0	29	+27	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense32′ 0-0	29	+8	49
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro 2-1	28	+5	43
8	Santos 1-2	28	0	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians33′ 0-1	29	-4	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio32′ 0-0	29	-8	30
18	Internacional32′ 0-0	29	-6	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18