Atlético Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense prediction, Brazilian Série A
Brazilian Série A · Round 21Full time
Atlético Mineiro
2-3
Athletico Paranaense
Model's readEstádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
1 43%X 28%2 29%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
74.5%
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →Atlético MineiroWDWDWAthletico ParanaenseDWDLDMatch analysis
Model generatedAtlético Mineiro favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.46 goals for Atlético Mineiro and 1.16 for Athletico Paranaense, giving 43% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.46 - 1.16
- Clean sheet chance: Atlético Mineiro 31%, Athletico Paranaense 23%
Match result
1X2Atlético Mineiro43.2%
Draw27.7%
Athletico Paranaense29.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Atlético Mineiro
Above average
6.5
Athletico Paranaense
Above average
Atlético MineiroLast 10 gamesAthletico Paranaense1.90Points per game1.70
1.6Goals scored per game1.9
1.0Goals conceded per game1.5
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Brazilian Série A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 28 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 | Atlético Mineiro | 27 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Bragantino | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitória | 28 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco da Gama | 27 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |  Grêmio | 28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 27 | -24 | 18 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Atlético Mineiro
2
Draws
2
Athletico Paranaense
- 9 Oct 26Athletico Paranaense 2-2 Atlético Mineiro
- 5 Apr 26Atlético Mineiro 2-1 Athletico Paranaense
- 8 Dec 24Atlético Mineiro 1-0 Athletico Paranaense
- 16 Nov 24Athletico Paranaense 1-0 Atlético Mineiro
- 2 Sept 23Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Atlético Mineiro