Flamengo vs Santos Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Home Win

68.1%

xG

2.2 – 0.9

Over 2.5

60%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →

FlamengoWDWWW

SantosLDWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Flamengo favoured at 68%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.23 goals for Flamengo and 0.85 for Santos, giving 68% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
Expected goals: 2.23 - 0.85
Clean sheet chance: Flamengo 43%, Santos 11%

Match result

1X2

Flamengo68.1%

Draw19.6%

Santos12.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

9.2

Flamengo

Elite

6.2

Santos

Above average

FlamengoLast 10 games

Santos

2.50Points per game2.00

2.1Goals scored per game1.7

0.7Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

50%Both teams scored70%

50%Clean sheets20%

0%Failed to score10%

Recent results

FlamengoWDWWW

SantosLDWWW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia14′ 0-0	29	+8	47
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13▲	Mirassol14′ 0-0	29	-9	33
14▼	Vitória	28	-14	33
15▼	Corinthians	28	-3	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18