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Mali vs Tunisia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time

Mali

0-1

Fri, 25 Mar

Tunisia

Model's readBamako
1 51%X 27%2 22%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

77.9%

xG

1.6 – 0.9

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
TunisiaLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Mali favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.57 goals for Mali and 0.95 for Tunisia, giving 51% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.57 - 0.95
  • Clean sheet chance: Mali 39%, Tunisia 21%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mali v Tunisia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mali51.2%
Draw26.7%
Tunisia22.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.6

Mali

Above average

4.3

Tunisia

Average

MaliLast 10 gamesTunisia
1.20Points per game0.60
1.0Goals scored per game0.7
0.9Goals conceded per game2.3
20%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score40%

Recent results

MaliLDLDD
  • 4 JunAIran0-2
  • 31 MarARussia0-0
  • 9 JanHSenegal0-1
  • 3 JanHTunisia1-1
  • 29 DecAComoros0-0
  • 26 DecAMorocco1-1
TunisiaLLLLL
  • 25 JunHNetherlands1-3
  • 20 JunHJapan0-4
  • 14 JunASweden1-5
  • 6 JunABelgium0-5
  • 1 JunAAustria0-1
  • 31 MarACanada0-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Mali

4

Draws

4

Tunisia

  • 3 Jan 26Mali 1-1 Tunisia
  • 20 Jan 24Tunisia 1-1 Mali
  • 29 Mar 22Tunisia 0-0 Mali
  • 25 Mar 22Mali 0-1 Tunisia
  • 12 Jan 22Tunisia 0-1 Mali
Every meeting between these two →