Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
The model gives Slovakia the edge, with an away win at 43% and Away or Draw at 70%, well above the 54% norm for this competition. That gap, rather than the raw percentage, is why it stands out. Expected goals are 1.24 for Kazakhstan and 1.51 for Slovakia, so the goals markets sit close to even.
Kazakhstan
Average
Slovakia
Above average
2
Kazakhstan
0
Draws
1
Slovakia