Malawi vs Ethiopia prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 1Full time
Malawi
2-1
Ethiopia
Model's readBingu National Stadium
1 34%X 31%2 35%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
66.5%
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →
MalawiLDLLW
EthiopiaDWLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedEthiopia favoured at 35%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.06 goals for Malawi and 1.10 for Ethiopia, giving 34% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.06 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Malawi 33%, Ethiopia 35%
Match result
1X2Malawi33.5%
Draw31.1%
Ethiopia35.4%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Malawi
Average
5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
MalawiLast 10 gamesEthiopia1.20Points per game1.60
1.0Goals scored per game1.4
1.0Goals conceded per game1.3
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Malawi
5
Draws
2
Ethiopia
- 9 Jun 26Ethiopia 1-1 Malawi
- 6 Jun 26Ethiopia 1-0 Malawi
- 20 Jun 23Ethiopia 0-0 Malawi
- 5 Jun 22Malawi 2-1 Ethiopia
- 17 Mar 21Ethiopia 4-0 Malawi