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Leeds United vs Arsenal prediction, English Premier League

English Premier League · Round 11Full time

Leeds United

0-1

Sun, 16 Oct

Arsenal

Model's readElland Road
1 23%X 29%2 49%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

77.3%

xG

0.9 – 1.5

Over 2.5

43%

Both score

48%

Form

Full stats →
Leeds UnitedLDWLD
ArsenalWLWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Arsenal favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.94 goals for Leeds United and 1.48 for Arsenal, giving 23% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 49% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 0.94 - 1.48
  • Clean sheet chance: Leeds United 23%, Arsenal 39%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Leeds United v Arsenal

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Leeds United22.7%
Draw28.8%
Arsenal48.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.8

Leeds United

Above average

8.3

Arsenal

Strong

Leeds UnitedLast 10 gamesArsenal
1.50Points per game2.50
1.4Goals scored per game1.8
1.4Goals conceded per game0.9
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Leeds UnitedLDWLD
  • 10 OctAArsenal1-2
  • 20 SeptHCrystal Palace0-0
  • 14 SeptHNewcastle United4-1
  • 9 SeptAChelsea3-6
  • 5 SeptABrighton and Hove Albion1-1
  • 30 AugHBrentford1-1
ArsenalWLWWW
  • 10 OctHLeeds United2-1
  • 19 SeptABrighton and Hove Albion0-3
  • 15 SeptAIpswich Town4-2
  • 12 SeptASunderland2-0
  • 9 SeptANapoli1-0
  • 6 SeptHChelsea2-1

English Premier League

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal5+412
3Brighton and Hove Albion5+1110
4Brentford5+69
5Leeds United5+49
6Liverpool5+39
7Everton5+39
8Hull City5+28
9Newcastle United508
10Chelsea5-27
11Ipswich Town5-46
12Manchester United505
13Nottingham Forest5-15
14Sunderland5-44
15Crystal Palace5-54
16Aston Villa5-54
17Bournemouth5-23
18Coventry City5-93
19Fulham5-32
20Tottenham Hotspur5-62
Top four Bottom three

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Leeds United

1

Draws

9

Arsenal

  • 31 Jan 26Leeds United 0-4 Arsenal
  • 23 Aug 25Arsenal 5-0 Leeds United
  • 1 Apr 23Arsenal 4-1 Leeds United
  • 16 Oct 22Leeds United 0-1 Arsenal
  • 8 May 22Arsenal 2-1 Leeds United
Every meeting between these two →