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Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction, English Premier League

English Premier League · Round 13Full time

Aston Villa

4-0

Sun, 23 Oct

Brentford

Model's readVilla Park
1 39%X 27%2 34%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

79.6%

xG

1.5 – 1.4

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →
Aston VillaDWWLW
BrentfordDWWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Aston Villa favoured at 39%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.50 goals for Aston Villa and 1.39 for Brentford, giving 39% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.50 - 1.39
  • Clean sheet chance: Aston Villa 25%, Brentford 22%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Aston Villa v Brentford

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Aston Villa39.0%
Draw27.1%
Brentford33.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.8

Aston Villa

Above average

6.3

Brentford

Above average

Aston VillaLast 10 gamesBrentford
1.70Points per game1.80
1.7Goals scored per game2.3
1.5Goals conceded per game1.1
80%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score0%

Recent results

Aston VillaDWWLW
  • 10 OctHBrentford2-2
  • 19 SeptATottenham Hotspur3-2
  • 16 SeptACoventry City3-1
  • 12 SeptHNottingham Forest1-2
  • 8 SeptAClub Brugge3-2
  • 5 SeptAHull City0-0
BrentfordDWWDD
  • 10 OctAAston Villa2-2
  • 18 SeptHChelsea3-0
  • 15 SeptAReading2-1
  • 12 SeptABournemouth2-2
  • 5 SeptHSunderland1-1
  • 30 AugALeeds United1-1

English Premier League

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal5+412
3Brighton and Hove Albion5+1110
4▲Everton18′ 0-06+310
5▼Brentford5+69
6▼Leeds United5+49
7▼Liverpool5+39
8Hull City18′ 0-06+29
9Newcastle United508
10▲Nottingham Forest18′ 1-0608
11▼Chelsea5-27
12▼Ipswich Town5-46
13▼Manchester United505
14Sunderland5-44
15▲Aston Villa5-54
16▼Crystal Palace18′ 0-16-64
17Bournemouth5-23
18Coventry City5-93
19Fulham5-32
20Tottenham Hotspur5-62
Top four Bottom three Moving with 2 games in play

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

4

Aston Villa

3

Draws

3

Brentford

  • 1 Feb 26Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford
  • 16 Sept 25Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa
  • 23 Aug 25Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa
  • 8 Mar 25Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa
  • 4 Dec 24Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford
Every meeting between these two →