Brighton and Hove Albion vs Chelsea prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 14Full time
Brighton and Hove Albion
4-1
Chelsea
Model's readThe American Express Community Stadium
1 51%X 24%2 25%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
75.3%
xG
1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWWDChelseaWLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedBrighton and Hove Albion favoured at 51%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.90 goals for Brighton and Hove Albion and 1.28 for Chelsea, giving 51% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.90 - 1.28
- Clean sheet chance: Brighton and Hove Albion 28%, Chelsea 15%
Match result
1X2Brighton and Hove Albion50.9%
Draw24.4%
Chelsea24.7%
Model rating
All ratings →6.8
Brighton and Hove Albion
Above average
5.7
Chelsea
Above average
Brighton and Hove AlbionLast 10 gamesChelsea2.00Points per game1.90
2.5Goals scored per game2.6
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals90%
30%Both teams scored80%
60%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWWDEnglish Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Brighton and Hove Albion
0
Draws
4
Chelsea
- 30 Aug 26Chelsea 4-3 Brighton and Hove Albion
- 21 Apr 26Brighton and Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea
- 27 Sept 25Chelsea 1-3 Brighton and Hove Albion
- 14 Feb 25Brighton and Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea
- 8 Feb 25Brighton and Hove Albion 2-1 Chelsea