Madagascar vs Central African Republic prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 3Full time
Madagascar
0-3
Central African Republic
Model's readStade Kianja Barea Mahamasina
1 48%X 26%2 26%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.6%
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
MadagascarLDWWL
Central African RepublicLDWLLMatch analysis
Model generatedMadagascar favoured at 48%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.59 goals for Madagascar and 1.10 for Central African Republic, giving 48% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.59 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Madagascar 33%, Central African Republic 20%
Match result
1X2Madagascar48.0%
Draw26.4%
Central African Republic25.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Madagascar
Above average
5.4
Central African Republic
Average
MadagascarLast 10 gamesCentral African Republic1.60Points per game1.00
1.7Goals scored per game0.7
1.9Goals conceded per game1.7
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings3
Madagascar
2
Draws
3
Central African Republic
- 4 Sept 25Madagascar 2-0 Central African Republic
- 19 Mar 25Central African Republic 1-4 Madagascar
- 27 Mar 23Central African Republic 2-0 Madagascar
- 23 Mar 23Madagascar 0-3 Central African Republic
- 28 Mar 16Central African Republic 2-1 Madagascar