Mali vs Madagascar prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.5%
xG
1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
MadagascarLDWWLMatch analysis
EnhancedOver 1.5 goals is the model's strongest read at 76%
The model's strongest pick is Over 1.5 Goals at 76%, well above the 70% norm in this competition. That gap is what makes it stand out, not the raw figure. Mali are still favoured at 50% to win at home, but the goals market is where the model sees the clearest edge.
Match result
1X2Mali50.5%
Draw26.0%
Madagascar23.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Mali
Above average
5.6
Madagascar
Above average
MaliLast 10 gamesMadagascar1.20Points per game1.60
1.0Goals scored per game1.7
0.9Goals conceded per game1.9
20%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings2
Mali
1
Draws
0
Madagascar
- 12 Oct 25Mali 4-1 Madagascar
- 11 Jun 24Madagascar 0-0 Mali
- 27 Apr 03Madagascar 0-2 Mali