Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
49%
The model gives Morocco a 71% chance of the home win, with a draw at 19% and a Madagascar win at 10%. Expected goals are 2.31 for Morocco against 0.77 for Madagascar. Treat this as a probability, not a certainty.
Morocco
Above average
Madagascar
Above average
1
Morocco
0
Draws
0
Madagascar