Benfica vs Casa Pia prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 19Full time
Benfica
3-0
Casa Pia
Model's readEstádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
1 80%X 13%2 7%
Our pick
Over 2.5 Goals
64.0%
xG
2.7 – 0.6
Over 2.5
64%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →BenficaLWWWWCasa PiaLWLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedBenfica favoured at 80%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.65 goals for Benfica and 0.64 for Casa Pia, giving 80% for the home win, 13% for the draw and 7% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 13%
- Expected goals: 2.65 - 0.64
- Clean sheet chance: Benfica 53%, Casa Pia 7%
Match result
1X2Benfica80.2%
Draw13.0%
Casa Pia6.8%
Model rating
All ratings →9.0
Benfica
Elite
3.8
Casa Pia
Weak
BenficaLast 10 gamesCasa Pia2.50Points per game0.80
2.9Goals scored per game0.5
0.8Goals conceded per game1.7
80%Over 2.5 goals30%
60%Both teams scored20%
40%Clean sheets30%
0%Failed to score70%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 9 meetings5
Benfica
3
Draws
1
Casa Pia
- 17 Aug 26Casa Pia 0-7 Benfica
- 6 Apr 26Casa Pia 1-1 Benfica
- 9 Nov 25Benfica 2-2 Casa Pia
- 25 Jan 25Casa Pia 3-1 Benfica
- 17 Aug 24Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia