Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 24Full time
Ajax
1-0
NEC Nijmegen
Model's readJohan Cruijff Arena
1 52%X 24%2 24%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
75.5%
xG
2.0 – 1.4
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
66%
Form
Full stats →AjaxDDWWLNEC NijmegenDDLLDMatch analysis
Model generatedAjax favoured at 52%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.05 goals for Ajax and 1.38 for NEC Nijmegen, giving 52% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.05 - 1.38
- Clean sheet chance: Ajax 25%, NEC Nijmegen 13%
Match result
1X2Ajax51.8%
Draw23.7%
NEC Nijmegen24.5%
Model rating
All ratings →7.4
Ajax
Strong
6.0
NEC Nijmegen
Above average
AjaxLast 10 gamesNEC Nijmegen1.90Points per game0.90
3.1Goals scored per game1.3
1.7Goals conceded per game2.3
90%Over 2.5 goals80%
90%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Ajax
4
Draws
1
NEC Nijmegen
- 21 Feb 26Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen
- 20 Dec 25NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Ajax
- 11 May 25Ajax 0-3 NEC Nijmegen
- 1 Dec 24NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Ajax
- 18 Feb 24Ajax 2-2 NEC Nijmegen