Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Home Win

63.4%

xG

2.3 – 1.1

Over 2.5

66%

Both score

61%

Form

Full stats →

AjaxDDWWL

Fortuna SittardDWLWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Ajax favoured at 63%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.30 goals for Ajax and 1.09 for Fortuna Sittard, giving 63% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
Expected goals: 2.30 - 1.09
Clean sheet chance: Ajax 34%, Fortuna Sittard 10%

Match result

1X2

Ajax63.4%

Draw21.0%

Fortuna Sittard15.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.4

Ajax

Strong

—

Fortuna Sittard

Not rated yet

AjaxLast 10 games

Fortuna Sittard

1.90Points per game1.70

3.1Goals scored per game1.7

1.7Goals conceded per game1.9

90%Over 2.5 goals60%

90%Both teams scored70%

10%Clean sheets10%

0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

AjaxDDWWL

Fortuna SittardDWLWW

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	+12	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	Feyenoord	7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2