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Bulgaria vs Montenegro prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European Championship · Round 1Full time

Bulgaria

0-1

Fri, 24 Mar

Montenegro

Model's readHuvepharma Arena
1 32%X 28%2 40%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

67.9%

xG

1.2 – 1.4

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →
BulgariaWLDLD
MontenegroDWWWD

Match analysis

Model generated

Montenegro favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.25 goals for Bulgaria and 1.41 for Montenegro, giving 32% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.25 - 1.41
  • Clean sheet chance: Bulgaria 24%, Montenegro 29%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Bulgaria v Montenegro

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Bulgaria32.1%
Draw28.2%
Montenegro39.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.1

Bulgaria

Average

5.5

Montenegro

Above average

BulgariaLast 10 gamesMontenegro
1.40Points per game2.00
1.8Goals scored per game1.8
1.3Goals conceded per game1.3
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

BulgariaWLDLD
  • 6 OctALuxembourg2-0
  • 3 OctAIceland0-3
  • 29 SeptHEstonia0-0
  • 26 SeptHLuxembourg1-2
  • 5 JunAMoldova2-2
  • 1 JunHMontenegro0-1
MontenegroDWWWD
  • 5 OctHArmenia0-0
  • 2 OctALatvia2-1
  • 28 SeptAArmenia3-2
  • 25 SeptHCyprus2-1
  • 5 JunASlovakia2-2
  • 1 JunABulgaria1-0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

1

Bulgaria

4

Draws

4

Montenegro

  • 1 Jun 26Bulgaria 0-1 Montenegro
  • 10 Sept 23Montenegro 2-1 Bulgaria
  • 24 Mar 23Bulgaria 0-1 Montenegro
  • 11 Oct 19Montenegro 0-0 Bulgaria
  • 22 Mar 19Bulgaria 1-1 Montenegro
Every meeting between these two →