Netherlands vs Greece prediction, UEFA European Championship
UEFA European Championship · Round 5Full time
Netherlands
3-0
Greece
Model's readPhilips Stadion
1 43%X 29%2 28%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
76.0%
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →
NetherlandsWDWDD
GreeceDDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedNetherlands favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.40 goals for Netherlands and 1.09 for Greece, giving 43% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.40 - 1.09
- Clean sheet chance: Netherlands 34%, Greece 25%
Match result
1X2Netherlands42.8%
Draw29.0%
Greece28.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Netherlands
Above average
6.5
Greece
Above average
NetherlandsLast 10 gamesGreece1.90Points per game1.40
2.0Goals scored per game1.0
1.2Goals conceded per game0.9
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
90%Both teams scored40%
0%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 7 meetings5
Netherlands
1
Draws
1
Greece
- 1 Oct 26Greece 2-2 Netherlands
- 16 Oct 23Greece 0-1 Netherlands
- 7 Sept 23Netherlands 3-0 Greece
- 1 Sept 16Netherlands 1-2 Greece
- 28 Apr 04Netherlands 4-0 Greece