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Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro prediction, Brazilian Série A

Brazilian Série A · Round 22Full time

Athletico Paranaense

1-1

Sat, 2 Sept

Atlético Mineiro

Model's readLigga Arena
1 49%X 27%2 24%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

76.0%

xG

1.6 – 1.0

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD
Atlético MineiroWDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletico Paranaense favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.60 goals for Athletico Paranaense and 1.05 for Atlético Mineiro, giving 49% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.60 - 1.05
  • Clean sheet chance: Athletico Paranaense 35%, Atlético Mineiro 20%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Athletico Paranaense v Atlético Mineiro

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Athletico Paranaense49.5%
Draw26.6%
Atlético Mineiro24.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.5

Athletico Paranaense

Above average

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

Athletico ParanaenseLast 10 gamesAtlético Mineiro
1.70Points per game1.90
1.9Goals scored per game1.6
1.5Goals conceded per game1.0
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD
  • 8 OctHAtlético Mineiro2-2
  • 20 SeptHBahia2-1
  • 12 SeptACoritiba3-3
  • 6 SeptACruzeiro1-3
  • 30 AugHFluminense3-3
  • 24 AugABotafogo3-2
Atlético MineiroWDWDW
  • 11 OctHSantos2-1
  • 8 OctAAthletico Paranaense2-2
  • 3 OctHBragantino1-0
  • 19 SeptHChapecoense1-1
  • 12 SeptHFluminense3-1
  • 5 SeptASão Paulo0-2

Brazilian Série A

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Flamengo28+3260
2Palmeiras28+2657
3Athletico Paranaense28+1149
4Fluminense28+848
5Bahia28+846
6Cruzeiro28+245
7Atlético Mineiro27+440
8Santos27+138
9Coritiba28-638
10Bragantino27+236
11São Paulo27+236
12Botafogo28-435
13Vitória28-1433
14Corinthians28-332
15Mirassol28-932
16Vasco da Gama27-731
17Grêmio28-829
18Internacional28-628
19Remo28-1523
20Chapecoense27-2418
Top four Bottom three

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Athletico Paranaense

2

Draws

6

Atlético Mineiro

  • 9 Oct 26Athletico Paranaense 2-2 Atlético Mineiro
  • 5 Apr 26Atlético Mineiro 2-1 Athletico Paranaense
  • 8 Dec 24Atlético Mineiro 1-0 Athletico Paranaense
  • 16 Nov 24Athletico Paranaense 1-0 Atlético Mineiro
  • 2 Sept 23Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Atlético Mineiro
Every meeting between these two →