Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

74.3%

xG

1.7 – 1.3

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

62%

Form

Full stats →

BournemouthLLWDW

ChelseaWLDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Bournemouth favoured at 45%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.72 goals for Bournemouth and 1.35 for Chelsea, giving 45% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.72 - 1.35
Clean sheet chance: Bournemouth 26%, Chelsea 18%

Match result

1X2

Bournemouth45.3%

Draw25.7%

Chelsea29.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.0

Bournemouth

Above average

5.7

Chelsea

Above average

BournemouthLast 10 games

Chelsea

1.10Points per game1.90

1.5Goals scored per game2.6

1.6Goals conceded per game1.9

60%Over 2.5 goals90%

80%Both teams scored80%

10%Clean sheets10%

10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

BournemouthLLWDW

ChelseaWLDWL

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	+4	12
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	+3	9
7	Everton	5	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	-2	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2