Everton vs Chelsea prediction, English Premier League
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.3%
xG
1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →
EvertonWWDDD
ChelseaWLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedEverton favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.49 goals for Everton and 1.33 for Chelsea, giving 40% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.49 - 1.33
- Clean sheet chance: Everton 26%, Chelsea 23%
Match result
1X2Everton39.9%
Draw27.5%
Chelsea32.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Everton
Above average
5.7
Chelsea
Above average
EvertonLast 10 gamesChelsea1.60Points per game1.90
1.4Goals scored per game2.6
0.9Goals conceded per game1.9
40%Over 2.5 goals90%
40%Both teams scored80%
50%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
EvertonWWDDD
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Everton
3
Draws
4
Chelsea
- 21 Mar 26Everton 3-0 Chelsea
- 13 Dec 25Chelsea 2-0 Everton
- 26 Apr 25Chelsea 1-0 Everton
- 22 Dec 24Everton 0-0 Chelsea
- 15 Apr 24Chelsea 6-0 Everton