Manchester City vs Manchester United prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 27Full time
Manchester City
3-1
Manchester United
Model's readEtihad Stadium
1 52%X 25%2 24%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
76.3%
xG
1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →Manchester CityWWWWWManchester UnitedDDLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedManchester City favoured at 52%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.89 goals for Manchester City and 1.23 for Manchester United, giving 52% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.89 - 1.23
- Clean sheet chance: Manchester City 29%, Manchester United 15%
Match result
1X2Manchester City51.8%
Draw24.5%
Manchester United23.7%
Model rating
All ratings →8.5
Manchester City
Elite
6.5
Manchester United
Above average
Manchester CityLast 10 gamesManchester United2.50Points per game1.50
2.3Goals scored per game2.1
0.8Goals conceded per game1.4
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Manchester CityWWWWW
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 6 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 5▲ |  Everton64′ 1-1 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 6▼ |  Chelsea | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7▼ |  Leeds United | 6 | +3 | 9 |
| 8▼ |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 9▲ |  Hull City64′ 1-1 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 10▼ |  Ipswich Town | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12▲ |  Crystal Palace63′ 3-1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 13▼ | Manchester United | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14▼ |  Nottingham Forest63′ 1-3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15▼ |  Aston Villa | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Sunderland | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | -4 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 2 games in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.