Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

68.1%

xG

1.4 – 1.6

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

60%

Form

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LiverpoolWWDWW

Manchester CityWWWWW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Away or Draw looks strongest: 68% vs a 58% norm

The model's strongest read is Away or Draw at 68%, well above the 58% norm for this competition. That gap is the signal, not the raw figure. Manchester City are rated 2nd of 27 sides and Liverpool 5th, with 1.59 expected goals for City against 1.37 for Liverpool.

Match result

1X2

Liverpool31.9%

Draw26.6%

Manchester City41.5%

Model rating

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6.8

Liverpool

Above average

8.5

Manchester City

Elite

LiverpoolLast 10 games

Manchester City

1.70Points per game2.50

1.6Goals scored per game2.3

1.2Goals conceded per game0.8

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

70%Both teams scored50%

30%Clean sheets50%

10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

LiverpoolWWDWW

Manchester CityWWWWW

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	+4	12
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	+3	9
7	Everton	5	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	-2	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2