Bristol City vs Southampton prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 32Full time
Bristol City
3-1
Southampton
Model's readAshton Gate Stadium
1 33%X 26%2 41%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
67.4%
xG
1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →Bristol CityDWLLWSouthamptonWLWWDMatch analysis
Model generatedSouthampton favoured at 41%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.38 goals for Bristol City and 1.57 for Southampton, giving 33% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.38 - 1.57
- Clean sheet chance: Bristol City 21%, Southampton 25%
Match result
1X2Bristol City32.6%
Draw26.3%
Southampton41.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Bristol City
Above average
7.5
Southampton
Strong
Bristol CityLast 10 gamesSouthampton1.40Points per game1.70
1.2Goals scored per game2.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored90%
10%Clean sheets10%
30%Failed to score0%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Bristol City
1
Draws
3
Southampton
- 12 Sept 26Southampton 4-1 Bristol City
- 21 Apr 26Southampton 2-2 Bristol City
- 21 Oct 25Bristol City 3-1 Southampton
- 13 Feb 24Bristol City 3-1 Southampton
- 29 Nov 23Southampton 1-0 Bristol City