PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Over 2.5 Goals
73.4%
xG
2.3 – 1.5
Over 2.5
73%
Both score
71%
Form
Full stats →
PSV EindhovenWLWDW
AjaxDDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedPSV Eindhoven favoured at 54%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.30 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.51 for Ajax, giving 54% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 9%
- Expected goals: 2.30 - 1.51
- Clean sheet chance: PSV Eindhoven 22%, Ajax 10%
Match result
1X2PSV Eindhoven54.4%
Draw21.8%
Ajax23.8%
Model rating
All ratings →9.2
PSV Eindhoven
Elite
7.4
Ajax
Strong
PSV EindhovenLast 10 gamesAjax2.30Points per game1.90
3.2Goals scored per game3.1
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7
80%Over 2.5 goals90%
90%Both teams scored90%
10%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
PSV Eindhoven
3
Draws
3
Ajax
- 5 Sept 26Ajax 1-3 PSV Eindhoven
- 2 May 26Ajax 2-2 PSV Eindhoven
- 21 Sept 25PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax
- 30 Mar 25PSV Eindhoven 0-2 Ajax
- 2 Nov 24Ajax 3-2 PSV Eindhoven