Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

73.9%

xG

1.6 – 1.1

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

AroucaWDLDW

MoreirenseLDWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Arouca favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.60 goals for Arouca and 1.09 for Moreirense, giving 49% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.60 - 1.09
Clean sheet chance: Arouca 34%, Moreirense 20%

Match result

1X2

Arouca49.5%

Draw24.4%

Moreirense26.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.7

Arouca

Above average

4.9

Moreirense

Average

AroucaLast 10 games

Moreirense

2.00Points per game0.90

1.7Goals scored per game0.8

0.9Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

50%Both teams scored40%

40%Clean sheets20%

20%Failed to score50%

Recent results

AroucaWDLDW

MoreirenseLDWLL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	8	+16	24
2	Sporting CP	8	+11	18
3	Santa Clara	8	+8	18
4	Benfica	7	+15	16
5	Académico de Viseu	8	+1	14
6	Arouca	7	+3	11
7	Gil Vicente	7	+1	11
8	Braga	7	0	11
9	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	8	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	8	-14	4
18	Estoril Praia	8	-8	2