Benfica vs Estoril Praia Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Home Win

72.7%

xG

2.5 – 0.9

Over 2.5

65%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

BenficaLWWWW

Estoril PraiaLLLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Benfica favoured at 73%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.47 goals for Benfica and 0.86 for Estoril Praia, giving 73% for the home win, 16% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
Expected goals: 2.47 - 0.86
Clean sheet chance: Benfica 42%, Estoril Praia 8%

Match result

1X2

Benfica72.7%

Draw16.0%

Estoril Praia11.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

9.0

Benfica

Elite

4.3

Estoril Praia

Average

BenficaLast 10 games

Estoril Praia

2.50Points per game0.30

2.9Goals scored per game0.6

0.8Goals conceded per game1.6

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

60%Both teams scored60%

40%Clean sheets10%

0%Failed to score40%

Recent results

BenficaLWWWW

Estoril PraiaLLLDL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2