Moreirense vs Arouca prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 26Full time
Moreirense
1-0
Arouca
Model's readParque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
1 34%X 25%2 40%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
65.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →MoreirenseLDWLLAroucaWDLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedArouca favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.26 goals for Moreirense and 1.40 for Arouca, giving 34% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.26 - 1.40
- Clean sheet chance: Moreirense 25%, Arouca 28%
Match result
1X2Moreirense34.2%
Draw25.5%
Arouca40.3%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Moreirense
Average
5.7
Arouca
Above average
MoreirenseLast 10 gamesArouca0.90Points per game2.00
0.8Goals scored per game1.7
1.7Goals conceded per game0.9
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
50%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Moreirense
2
Draws
3
Arouca
- 16 Aug 26Arouca 4-0 Moreirense
- 21 Mar 26Moreirense 0-1 Arouca
- 2 Nov 25Arouca 0-2 Moreirense
- 24 Jan 25Arouca 1-0 Moreirense
- 18 Aug 24Moreirense 3-1 Arouca