Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick Strong

Home Win

75.6%

xG

2.5 – 0.7

Over 2.5

63%

Both score

48%

Form

Full stats →

BenficaLWWWW

MoreirenseLDWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Benfica favoured at 76%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.49 goals for Benfica and 0.75 for Moreirense, giving 76% for the home win, 15% for the draw and 9% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 12%
Expected goals: 2.49 - 0.75
Clean sheet chance: Benfica 47%, Moreirense 8%

Match result

1X2

Benfica75.6%

Draw15.1%

Moreirense9.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

9.0

Benfica

Elite

4.9

Moreirense

Average

BenficaLast 10 games

Moreirense

2.50Points per game0.90

2.9Goals scored per game0.8

0.8Goals conceded per game1.7

80%Over 2.5 goals50%

60%Both teams scored40%

40%Clean sheets20%

0%Failed to score50%

Recent results

BenficaLWWWW

MoreirenseLDWLL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2