Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 1Full time
Ethiopia
0-0
Sierra Leone
Model's readStade Ben M'Hamed El Abdi
1 43%X 28%2 29%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.7%
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →
EthiopiaDWLWL
Sierra LeoneLWDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedEthiopia favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.41 goals for Ethiopia and 1.10 for Sierra Leone, giving 43% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.41 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Ethiopia 33%, Sierra Leone 24%
Match result
1X2Ethiopia43.3%
Draw28.1%
Sierra Leone28.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
5.2
Sierra Leone
Average
EthiopiaLast 10 gamesSierra Leone1.60Points per game1.40
1.4Goals scored per game1.1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.1
40%Over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings0
Ethiopia
2
Draws
1
Sierra Leone
- 9 Sept 25Sierra Leone 2-0 Ethiopia
- 15 Nov 23Ethiopia 0-0 Sierra Leone
- 26 Aug 21Ethiopia 0-0 Sierra Leone