Somalia vs Uganda prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 2Full time
Somalia
0-1
Uganda
Model's readStade Municipal de Berkane
1 32%X 28%2 40%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
67.6%
xG
1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
SomaliaWWLLL
UgandaDWLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedUganda favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.21 goals for Somalia and 1.36 for Uganda, giving 32% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.21 - 1.36
- Clean sheet chance: Somalia 26%, Uganda 30%
Match result
1X2Somalia32.4%
Draw28.0%
Uganda39.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Somalia
Above average
5.5
Uganda
Above average
SomaliaLast 10 gamesUganda0.70Points per game1.40
0.4Goals scored per game1.2
1.8Goals conceded per game1.5
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
20%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets30%
70%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 2 meetings0
Somalia
0
Draws
2
Uganda
- 8 Sept 25Uganda 2-0 Somalia
- 21 Nov 23Somalia 0-1 Uganda