Malawi vs São Tomé and Príncipe prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 3Full time
Malawi
3-1
São Tomé and Príncipe
Model's readBingu National Stadium
1 52%X 27%2 21%
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
78.6%
xG
1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
MalawiLDLLWSão Tomé and PríncipeDWLLL
Match analysis
Model generatedMalawi favoured at 52%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.59 goals for Malawi and 0.93 for São Tomé and Príncipe, giving 52% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.59 - 0.93
- Clean sheet chance: Malawi 39%, São Tomé and Príncipe 20%
Match result
1X2Malawi52.0%
Draw26.6%
São Tomé and Príncipe21.4%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Malawi
Average
5.3
São Tomé and Príncipe
Average
MalawiLast 10 gamesSão Tomé and Príncipe1.20Points per game0.40
1.0Goals scored per game0.5
1.0Goals conceded per game2.6
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 2 meetings1
Malawi
0
Draws
1
São Tomé and Príncipe
- 13 Oct 25São Tomé and Príncipe 1-0 Malawi
- 6 Jun 24Malawi 3-1 São Tomé and Príncipe