Gabon vs Gambia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 4Full time
Gabon
3-2
Gambia
Model's readStade de Franceville
1 45%X 24%2 31%
Our pick
Over 2.5 Goals
64.6%
xG
1.8 – 1.5
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
66%
Form
Full stats →
GabonDLLLL
GambiaLLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedGabon favoured at 45%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.83 goals for Gabon and 1.50 for Gambia, giving 45% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 1.83 - 1.50
- Clean sheet chance: Gabon 22%, Gambia 16%
Match result
1X2Gabon45.1%
Draw23.8%
Gambia31.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Gabon
Average
5.2
Gambia
Average
GabonLast 10 gamesGambia1.10Points per game1.40
1.8Goals scored per game2.2
1.9Goals conceded per game1.6
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 5 meetings3
Gabon
0
Draws
2
Gambia
- 10 Oct 25Gambia 3-4 Gabon
- 11 Jun 24Gabon 3-2 Gambia
- 16 Nov 20Gambia 2-1 Gabon
- 12 Nov 20Gabon 2-1 Gambia
- 7 Jun 11Gabon 0-1 Gambia