Equatorial Guinea vs São Tomé and Príncipe prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 5Full time
Equatorial Guinea
2-0
São Tomé and Príncipe
Model's readMalabo
1 52%X 27%2 21%
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.2%
xG
1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →
Equatorial GuineaLDWWLSão Tomé and PríncipeDWLLL
Match analysis
Model generatedEquatorial Guinea favoured at 52%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.55 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 0.89 for São Tomé and Príncipe, giving 52% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.55 - 0.89
- Clean sheet chance: Equatorial Guinea 41%, São Tomé and Príncipe 21%
Match result
1X2Equatorial Guinea52.2%
Draw27.0%
São Tomé and Príncipe20.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
5.3
São Tomé and Príncipe
Average
Equatorial GuineaLast 10 gamesSão Tomé and Príncipe1.10Points per game0.40
0.7Goals scored per game0.5
1.1Goals conceded per game2.6
20%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings3
Equatorial Guinea
0
Draws
0
São Tomé and Príncipe
- 4 Sept 25São Tomé and Príncipe 2-3 Equatorial Guinea
- 21 Mar 25Equatorial Guinea 2-0 São Tomé and Príncipe
- 12 Nov 03Equatorial Guinea 3-1 São Tomé and Príncipe