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Comoros vs Mali prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 5Full time

Comoros

0-3

Thu, 20 Mar

Mali

Model's readBerkane
1 36%X 32%2 31%

Our pick

Under 2.5 Goals

67.6%

xG

1.0 – 1.0

Over 2.5

32%

Both score

41%

Form

Full stats →
ComorosLWLDD
MaliLDLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Comoros favoured at 36%, in a tight game

The model projects 1.05 goals for Comoros and 0.96 for Mali, giving 36% for the home win, 32% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.05 - 0.96
  • Clean sheet chance: Comoros 38%, Mali 35%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Comoros v Mali

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Comoros36.2%
Draw32.4%
Mali31.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.5

Comoros

Above average

5.6

Mali

Above average

ComorosLast 10 gamesMali
1.20Points per game1.20
0.6Goals scored per game1.0
0.5Goals conceded per game0.9
10%Over 2.5 goals20%
0%Both teams scored50%
60%Clean sheets30%
70%Failed to score50%

Recent results

ComorosLWLDD
  • 4 OctHSenegal0-1
  • 9 JunAEquatorial Guinea1-0
  • 31 MarAKazakhstan0-1
  • 28 MarANamibia0-0
  • 29 DecHMali0-0
  • 26 DecAZambia0-0
MaliLDLDD
  • 4 JunAIran0-2
  • 31 MarARussia0-0
  • 9 JanHSenegal0-1
  • 3 JanHTunisia1-1
  • 29 DecAComoros0-0
  • 26 DecAMorocco1-1

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

0

Comoros

1

Draws

2

Mali

  • 29 Dec 25Comoros 0-0 Mali
  • 4 Sept 25Mali 3-0 Comoros
  • 20 Mar 25Comoros 0-3 Mali
Every meeting between these two →