Mali vs Comoros prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
78.7%
xG
1.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
34%
Both score
39%
Form
Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
ComorosLWLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedMali favoured at 48%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.29 goals for Mali and 0.76 for Comoros, giving 48% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 16%
- Expected goals: 1.29 - 0.76
- Clean sheet chance: Mali 47%, Comoros 28%
Match result
1X2Mali48.2%
Draw30.5%
Comoros21.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Mali
Above average
5.5
Comoros
Above average
MaliLast 10 gamesComoros1.20Points per game1.20
1.0Goals scored per game0.6
0.9Goals conceded per game0.5
20%Over 2.5 goals10%
50%Both teams scored0%
30%Clean sheets60%
50%Failed to score70%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings2
Mali
1
Draws
0
Comoros
- 29 Dec 25Comoros 0-0 Mali
- 4 Sept 25Mali 3-0 Comoros
- 20 Mar 25Comoros 0-3 Mali